Will “Football” be said on World News Tonight next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Football” was said on World News Tonight in 2 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 3, 2026 (67%), most recently on Sep 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 12, 2026 – Oct 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 4. 1 later episode without a transcript yet (Oct 23, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- any host or reporter
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
ABC World News Tonight
Football
- Probability
- 45% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: any host or reporter
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…TO KILL PRESIDENT TRUMP AFTER LEARNING HE WOULD BE ATTENDING A COLLEGE FOOTBALL GAME. IT COMES JUST DAYS AFTER ANOTHER ARREST INVOLVING A THREAT ON…
…every night. Tonight, the breaking news as we come on the air after Monday Night Football. The arrest tonight, the alleged threats against President Trump.
…Iranian missile and drone threats. Here in this country, the young college football player dying just days after being injured during a game. Sources telling…
The high school football team that won 63 to nothing. So why was the coach fired? What that school is saying. Tonight, the scare of…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often is “Football” said on World News Tonight?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Football” was said on World News Tonight in 2 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 3, 2026 (67%), most recently on Sep 4, 2026.
- What is the probability “Football” is said on World News Tonight next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.
Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘Football’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/football (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=football · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP