NYT front-page headlines, August 24–30, 2026
In the week ending Aug 30, 2026, 5 of the 12 words Polymarket listed appeared in front-page headlines; Parrot’s count agreed with all 12 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
12 words · 5 settled yes · our count agreed on 12 of 12- Polymarket: anyone
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Yes | 7 | 7 | ✓ | 68%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 67%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Fear | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 50%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Ukraine / Ukrainian | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 53%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Japan | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 54%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Earthquake / Quake | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 43%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Hot / Heat | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 42%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Woman | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 38%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Gold | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 31%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Party | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 31%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Spain | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 31%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsPrint page (OCR) · The New York Times, front page (print) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
2 matches for “Fear”; 2 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
New Mosquito Fears in Africa
Fear of Trump Chills Nonprofit On Cohn Book
Where the listed words were said
Endangered by Trump’s Wall
VOW TO BLOCK ALL OIL
Deaths by Russian A.I.-Guided Drone Are a First
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/nyt-front-page:2026-08-30:front_page · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=nyt-front-page:2026-08-30:front_page · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP