ABC World News Tonight, August 27, 2026
On the Aug 27, 2026 episode of ABC World News Tonight, 7 of the 15 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 15 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
15 words · 7 settled yes · our count agreed on 15 of 15- Kalshi: any host or reporter
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump 5+ times | Yes | 10 | 10 | ✓ | 55%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Nepal | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Tornado | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 48%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Los Angeles | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| NATO | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 32%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Meta / Facebook / Instagram | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 35%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 26%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Iran 3+ times | No | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 46%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Prince Harry / Meghan Markle | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 58%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Hormuz | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 43%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| FDA / Tumor | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Japan / Japanese | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| China / Chinese | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 31%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Ukraine / Ukrainian | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 31%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Blockade | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 26%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsMachine transcript · ABC World News Tonight podcast audio (ABC), machine transcript · Source · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
Where the listed words were said
…tonight, what we're now learning about a new communication problem between President Trump's Marine One helicopter and air traffic control. The escalating trade war with…
…survivors. 90 Americans among the hundreds missing in a catastrophic flood in Nepal. The horrific moment, that wall of water and mud crashes over a…
…corridor under threat once again, exactly a week after another storm system overwhelmed New York City's subway system, swamped drivers, and spawned multiple confirmed tornadoes.
…and of itself. In which Jake and Romy Reiner are now carrying on their parents' charity work at the Children's Institute here in Los Angeles.
…on a massive C-17 military cargo plane. Sources tell us that Ratcliffe flew there in part to warn the Russians not to attack NATO countries.
…for news about their missing loved ones. In a desperate post on Instagram, the family of Deepak and Madhu Ahuja from North Carolina sharing these…
…suspect the landslide started at a glacier mountain cliff, The avalanche of ice melting as it rushed down 6,000 feet of the mountain slope, picking…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/world-news-tonight:2026-08-27:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=world-news-tonight:2026-08-27:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP