Will “Tornado” be said on World News Tonight next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Tornado” was said on World News Tonight in 3 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 21, 2026 (75%), most recently on Aug 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 12, 2026 – Oct 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 6. 1 later episode without a transcript yet (Oct 23, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- any host or reporter
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
ABC World News Tonight
Tornado
- Probability
- 45% · n=4
- Settled
- 3/4 (75%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 6 of 8
Next listing counts: any host or reporter
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…INVOLVING A THREAT ON THE PRESIDENT'S LIFE. BREAKING NOW, AS WE COME ON THE TORNADO WATCH AT THIS HOUR. SEVERE STORMS FLOODING MULTIPLE STATES. THE
…one moving in from the Pacific into the Southwest. It's the first tornado watch in 16 years in parts of Arizona. Right now, a tornado…
…to Philadelphia, right up to New York City. Millions bracing for flash flooding, 70-mile-per-hour gusts and tornadoes after the same storm system pummeled the south.
Tornadoes and flooding. Temperatures in the northeast set to plunge. Lee Goldberg is here. Tonight, an arrest in a murder case that made national headlines.…
There's a really bad storm east of Lubbock right now. An active tornado warning and flash flooding possible as well. We've already had a reported…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often is “Tornado” said on World News Tonight?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Tornado” was said on World News Tonight in 3 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 21, 2026 (75%), most recently on Aug 27, 2026.
- What is the probability “Tornado” is said on World News Tonight next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.
Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘Tornado’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/tornado (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=tornado · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP