Will “Iowa” be said on The Last Word next time?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “Iowa” was said on The Last Word in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 25, 2026 (50%), most recently on Aug 25, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
41%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell
Iowa
- Probability
- 41% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often is “Iowa” said on The Last Word?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, “Iowa” was said on The Last Word in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 25, 2026 (50%), most recently on Aug 25, 2026.
- What is the probability “Iowa” is said on The Last Word next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “The Last Word: ‘Iowa’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-last-word/words/iowa (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-last-word&word=iowa · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-last-word&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP