Zohran Mamdani: Remarks #2, Aug 12, 2026
Kalshi listed 16 words for Zohran Mamdani’s remarks on Aug 12, 2026; 7 settled Yes. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
16 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Five Borough | Yes | 70%n=59 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 67%n=109 from settlement history | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 62%n=70 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | Yes | 47%n=97 from settlement history | – |
| Governor / Hochul | Yes | 44%n=72 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | Yes | 32%n=105 from settlement history | – |
| Grocery | Yes | 20%n=45 from settlement history | – |
| Heat / Weather | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Deport / Deported / Deportation | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sanctuary | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Supreme Court | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Childcare | No | 35%n=39 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | No | 34%n=108 from settlement history | – |
| Free Bus / Fast & Free | No | 24%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 13%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 5%n=68 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · Office of the Mayor of the City of New York (nyc.gov) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
Where the listed words were said
…ambitious savings targets early. This budget made investments in a better, more affordable New York City — including our partnership with the governor to deliver…
…murders, shootings, and shooting victims, both ensuring that New York City is safer and making our city more appealing to businesses and to talent. The…
Good morning. Thank you so much to our chair, Governor Hochul, for convening us. I also want to acknowledge, as the governor did, the comptroller…
…of 79 percent. I'm proud that together we are building a local economy that is resilient despite national and international headwinds. We are at an…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/zohran-mamdani:2026-08-12:remarks-b2a6bc · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=zohran-mamdani:2026-08-12:remarks-b2a6bc · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP