Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Aug 12, 2026
Kalshi listed 16 words for Zohran Mamdani’s remarks on Aug 12, 2026; 7 settled Yes. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
16 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Five Borough | Yes | 70%n=59 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 67%n=109 from settlement history | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 62%n=70 from settlement history | – |
| Trump / President | Yes | 47%n=97 from settlement history | – |
| Governor / Hochul | Yes | 44%n=72 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | Yes | 32%n=105 from settlement history | – |
| Grocery | Yes | 20%n=45 from settlement history | – |
| Heat / Weather | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Deport / Deported / Deportation | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sanctuary | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Supreme Court | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Childcare | No | 35%n=39 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | No | 34%n=108 from settlement history | – |
| Free Bus / Fast & Free | No | 24%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 13%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | 5%n=68 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · Office of the Mayor of the City of New York (nyc.gov) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
Where the listed words were said
…that site, we continue to believe in the importance of building more affordable housing. And that is why we are going to be building more…
…For years, riders of the Bx36 have called for faster service and safer streets. And for a brief moment last year, it seemed like their…
…our DOT assistant commissioner, Diniece Mendes. We have our MTA executive vice president of buses, Frank Farrell. We have our Bronx River Alliance deputy director,…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/zohran-mamdani:2026-08-12:remarks-15d87f · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=zohran-mamdani:2026-08-12:remarks-15d87f · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP