NASA: Press conference, Mar 12, 2026
Kalshi What will NASA say during the Artemis II Press Conference?
Markets
12 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | Yes | 86%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Preparation / Prepared | Yes | 86%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Quarantine | Yes | 86%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Safe / Safety | Yes | 86%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Apollo | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| SpaceX | Yes | 35%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Florida | Yes | 13%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Troubleshoot / Troubleshooting | No | 52%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Centaur | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Weather | No | 13%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Dragon | No | 10%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Elon / Musk | No | 10%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMENTION-NASA26MAR12 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP