Will “Victim” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?

As of Oct 25, 2026, “Victim” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 29, 2026 (20%), most recently on Jun 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 32% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1 of them.

32%from settlement history only · n=5counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Prime Minister's Questions

Victim

Probability
32% · n=5
Settled
1/5 (20%)
Last 8 PMQs
said in 1 of 3 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Andy BurnhamspeakerPrime Minister's Questions, 21 October 2026 · Oct 21, 2026In transcript

…from this Dispatch Box today that, as Prime Minister, I will work with Marie and my hon. Friend to get justice for the Primodos victims.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Joe Powell (Kensington and Bayswater) (Lab)otherPrime Minister's Questions, 14 October 2026 · Oct 14, 2026In transcript

…often inquiries and inquests make recommendations that sit on a shelf, leaving victims chasing answers and avoidable harms continuing. Will the Prime Minister give his…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Ann DaviesotherPrime Minister's Questions, 2 September 2026 · Sep 2, 2026In transcript

…killed on 23 December 2024. Will the Prime Minister now apologise to victims and their families who have been put through significant distress throughout this…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Melanie Onn (Great Grimsby and Cleethorpes) (Lab)otherPrime Minister's Questions, 15 July 2026 · Jul 15, 2026In transcript

…rape and sexual offences teams, and he has embedded trauma support for victims across all services. Does he agree that the Government absolutely must stick…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Sir James Cleverly (Braintree) (Con)otherPrime Minister's Questions, 8 July 2026 · Jul 8, 2026In transcript

…much on that day. Will the Deputy Prime Minister apologise to the victims of the rapists, sexual predators and paedophiles that he is planning to…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · settled no

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Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jul 8, 2026VictimPolymarketNo
Jun 30, 2026VictimPolymarketNo
Jun 10, 2026VictimPolymarketYes
Jun 4, 2026VictimPolymarketNo
Apr 29, 2026VictimPolymarketNo

Questions

How often is “Victim” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Victim” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 29, 2026 (20%), most recently on Jun 10, 2026.
What is the probability “Victim” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
32%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Victim’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/victim (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=victim · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP