Will “Victim” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Victim” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 29, 2026 (20%), most recently on Jun 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 32% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearancePrime Minister's Questions
Victim
- Probability
- 32% · n=5
- Settled
- 1/5 (20%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 1 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…from this Dispatch Box today that, as Prime Minister, I will work with Marie and my hon. Friend to get justice for the Primodos victims.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…often inquiries and inquests make recommendations that sit on a shelf, leaving victims chasing answers and avoidable harms continuing. Will the Prime Minister give his…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…killed on 23 December 2024. Will the Prime Minister now apologise to victims and their families who have been put through significant distress throughout this…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…rape and sexual offences teams, and he has embedded trauma support for victims across all services. Does he agree that the Government absolutely must stick…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…much on that day. Will the Deputy Prime Minister apologise to the victims of the rapists, sexual predators and paedophiles that he is planning to…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shownQuestions
- How often is “Victim” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Victim” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 29, 2026 (20%), most recently on Jun 10, 2026.
- What is the probability “Victim” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 32%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Victim’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/victim (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=victim · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP