Will “Venezuela” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Venezuela” was not said at the Prime Minister's Questions on any of the 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 34% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1 of them.

34%from settlement history only · n=6counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no
Streak
not said the last 6 times
Counts
named speaker only
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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Prime Minister's Questions

Venezuela

Probability
34% · n=6
Settled
0/6 (0%)
Last 8 PMQs
said in 1 of 3 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Keir StarmerspeakerPrime Minister's Questions, 1 July 2026 · Jul 1, 2026In transcript

…sure the thoughts of the whole House, are with the people of Venezuela—the scenes of destruction are simply harrowing. We have committed humanitarian funding and…

What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 6 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Feb 11, 2026VenezuelaPolymarketNo–
Jan 28, 2026VenezuelaPolymarketNo–
Jan 22, 2026VenezuelaKalshiNo0
Jan 21, 2026VenezuelaPolymarketNo–
Jan 15, 2026VenezuelaKalshiNo0
Jan 14, 2026VenezuelaPolymarketNo–

Questions

How often is “Venezuela” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Venezuela” was not said at the Prime Minister's Questions on any of the 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 14, 2026.
What is the probability “Venezuela” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
34%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Venezuela’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/venezuela (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=venezuela · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP