Will “Poverty” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Poverty” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 4 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 19, 2026 (67%), most recently on Jul 8, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 61% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2 of them.
- Last 10
- 4/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
Poverty
- Probability
- 61% · n=6
- Settled
- 4/6 (67%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 2 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…our trade unions and community organisations in prioritising the elimination of food poverty? No child in our country should go to bed at night feeling…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…rate for 17 years. We have pulled a big lever on child poverty, and this Government are doing more on child poverty than any Government…
…early 1990s. Their record is plunging hundreds of thousands of children into poverty; our record is lifting half a million children out of poverty. I…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…working people, and we are lifting half a million children out of poverty. The test for every Prime Minister is handing over the country in…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How often is “Poverty” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Poverty” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 4 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 19, 2026 (67%), most recently on Jul 8, 2026.
- What is the probability “Poverty” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 61%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Poverty’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/poverty (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=poverty · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP