Will “NHS / National Health Service” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “NHS / National Health Service” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 6 of 10 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Dec 18, 2025 (60%), most recently on Feb 11, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=10, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3 of them.
- Last 10
- 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes yes yes no no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
NHS / National Health Service
- Probability
- 41% · n=10
- Settled
- 6/10 (60%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 3 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Q14. Waits for NHS mental health care are far too long. Our constituents are 200 times more likely to wait 18 months for help with…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…done that. We pulled the levers to strengthen our public services and NHS waiting lists are coming down at the fastest rate for 17 years.…
…bringing down violent crime. Their record is millions of people stuck on NHS waiting lists; our record is cutting NHS waiting lists at the fastest…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…and strengthen our international leadership. Sunday marks the 78th birthday of the NHS, and I am pleased that under this Government, waiting lists are down,…
…drive research into rare cancers. Thanks to our record investment in the NHS, we have the shortest waits for cancer diagnosis on record. He will…
Every settled listing
newest first · 10 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2026 | NHS / National Health Service |  Kalshi | No | – |
| Feb 12, 2026 | NHS / National Health Service | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Feb 5, 2026 | NHS / National Health Service | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jan 29, 2026 | NHS / National Health Service | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 29, 2026 | NHS / National Health Service | Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
| Jan 22, 2026 | NHS / National Health Service | Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | NHS / National Health Service | Kalshi | Yes | 7 |
| Jan 14, 2026 | NHS / National Health Service |  Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jan 8, 2026 | NHS / National Health Service | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Dec 18, 2025 | NHS / National Health Service | Kalshi | Yes | 5 |
Questions
- How often is “NHS / National Health Service” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “NHS / National Health Service” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 6 of 10 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Dec 18, 2025 (60%), most recently on Feb 11, 2026.
- What is the probability “NHS / National Health Service” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=10). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘NHS / National Health Service’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/national-health-service-or-nhs (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=national%20health%20service%20%2F%20nhs · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP