Will “Europe” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Europe” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 1 of 7 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Feb 25, 2026 (14%), most recently on Feb 25, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 26% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 6 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
Europe
- Probability
- 26% · n=7
- Settled
- 1/7 (14%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…on oil and gas. If we do not produce it, Britain and Europe will buy it from Russia. In July, the Prime Minister said: “The…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…care service. I took a difficult decision about developing closer ties with Europe, supported by a majority of people in this country. Why? Because we…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…our debt than we do on defence—almost double. There is war in Europe. Yesterday, Germany confirmed that Russia was behind the attack on Leipzig airport.…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…but can I pay my own tribute—[Interruption.] I disagreed with Labour on Europe, and I have disagreed with the Conservatives on Europe! I say to…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…is attending the NATO summit. Working with our allies, we are strengthening Europe’s role in the alliance, which remains the cornerstone of our national security.…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown
PolymarketQuestions
- How often is “Europe” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Europe” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 1 of 7 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Feb 25, 2026 (14%), most recently on Feb 25, 2026.
- What is the probability “Europe” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 26%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Europe’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/europe (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=europe · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP