Will “Denmark / Greenland” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?

As of Oct 25, 2026, “Denmark / Greenland” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 1 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 21, 2026 (17%), most recently on Jan 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.

38%from settlement history only · n=6counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no no
Streak
not said the last 5 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Prime Minister's Questions

Denmark / Greenland

Probability
38% · n=6
Settled
1/6 (17%)
Last 8 PMQs
said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 6 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Feb 11, 2026Denmark / GreenlandPolymarketNo–
Feb 5, 2026Greenland / DenmarkKalshiNo0
Jan 29, 2026Greenland / DenmarkKalshiNo–
Jan 29, 2026Greenland / DenmarkKalshiNo0
Jan 28, 2026Denmark / GreenlandPolymarketNo–
Jan 21, 2026Denmark / GreenlandPolymarketYes–

Questions

How often is “Denmark / Greenland” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Denmark / Greenland” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 1 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 21, 2026 (17%), most recently on Jan 21, 2026.
What is the probability “Denmark / Greenland” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
38%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Denmark / Greenland’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/denmark-or-greenland (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=denmark%20%2F%20greenland · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP