Will Donald Trump say “Witkoff”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Witkoff” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 20, 2025 (50%), most recently on Feb 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 44% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

44%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
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Where it was said

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Donald Trump

Witkoff

Probability
44% · n=4
Settled
2/4 (50%)
Last 6 speeches
said in 0 of 6

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Roundtable · Oct 21, 2026 · 25:02In transcript

…Russia and he's on his way back. He's on a flight. Steve Witkoff is with him. His family is with him. His family went over…

The PressreporterDonald Trump: Announcement · Oct 20, 2026 · 1:15:41In transcript

…do you believe the peace process is back on track? And what are your expectations when your special envoy, Steve Witkoff, heads to Russia tomorrow?

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Feb 24, 2026WitkoffPolymarketYes
Feb 24, 2026WitkoffKalshiYes
Apr 17, 2025WitkoffPolymarketNo
Mar 20, 2025WitkoffPolymarketNo

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Witkoff”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Witkoff” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 20, 2025 (50%), most recently on Feb 24, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Witkoff” next time?
44%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Witkoff’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/witkoff (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=witkoff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP