Will Donald Trump say “Wife”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Wife” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 30, 2025 (75%), most recently on Jan 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Wife
- Probability
- 40% · n=4
- Settled
- 3/4 (75%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…and she said tariff is his favorite word how bad is the man what about God what about wife family children relationship so I made
…why should I do it? That's why we joked last night. My wife is a very elegant, beautiful woman, very respectful. She's actually becoming the…
…I say it's my favorite. And they'd say your favorite. What about wife? What about God? What about religion? Unification. David came up with unification.…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Wife”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Wife” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 30, 2025 (75%), most recently on Jan 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Wife” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Wife’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/wife (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=wife · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP