Will Donald Trump say “Tax” 30+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Tax” 30+ times at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 11, 2024 (40%), most recently on Aug 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (30+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 2/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Tax 30+ times
- Probability
- 47% · n=5
- Settled
- 2/5 (40%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Republican Congress, I signed the great big beautiful bill delivering the largest tax cuts in American history. I did it in my first term also,…
…be. It's our capital. It should be right. I signed the largest tax cuts in American history with the great big beautiful bill including no…
…really am on the ballot because we did so many things. Greatest tax cuts, the strongest border we've ever had, all these things. And it…
…not why he did it. But to Americans across the country, your tax dollars are being stolen, and your tax dollars are being stolen from…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…regulation and obstacle to doing business in America. We passed the largest tax cuts in American history, and as a result, more money is being…
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Tax 30+ times |  Polymarket | Yes | 35 |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Tax 30+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Oct 24, 2024 | Tax 30+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Tax 30+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Oct 11, 2024 | Tax 30+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Tax 30+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Tax” 30+ times at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 11, 2024 (40%), most recently on Aug 5, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Tax 30+ times” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Tax 30+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/tax-30plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=tax%20%2830%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP