Will Donald Trump say “Supreme Leader”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Supreme Leader” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 1, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Supreme Leader
- Probability
- 40% · n=3
- Settled
- 0/3 (0%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Iran's supreme leader celebrated that massacre and called it a service to humanity The same regime slaughtered over 72,000 of its citizens this year. Recently,…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Supreme Leader |  Kalshi | No |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Supreme Leader | Kalshi | Void (did not qualify) |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Supreme Leader | Kalshi | No |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Supreme Leader | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Supreme Leader”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Supreme Leader” at any of the 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 1, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Supreme Leader” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Supreme Leader’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/supreme-leader (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=supreme%20leader · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP