Will Donald Trump say “Rocket”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Rocket” at 5 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 29, 2024 (83%), most recently on Apr 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 51% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 5/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Rocket
- Probability
- 51% · n=6
- Settled
- 5/6 (83%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…to Nebraska, made a little speech, and he took off like a rocket ship. You saw that, right? It was going to be close. Not…
…10,000 people. So you can't feel that bad when you see those rockets go right through the middle of the But you ever see them?…
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Rocket |  Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Rocket | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| May 30, 2025 | Rocket |  Polymarket | Yes | – |
| May 2, 2025 | Rocket | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Feb 20, 2025 | Rocket | Kalshi | No | – |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Rocket | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Rocket”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Rocket” at 5 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 29, 2024 (83%), most recently on Apr 29, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Rocket” next time?
- 51%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Rocket’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/rocket (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=rocket · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP