Will Donald Trump say “Kamala” 30+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Kamala” 30+ times at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 5, 2024 (25%), most recently on Oct 6, 2024. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (30+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Kamala 30+ times
- Probability
- 48% · n=4
- Settled
- 1/4 (25%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…no clue. He was sleeping most of the time. But his borders was Kamala. Nobody knows her last name. Does anybody know her last name?
…here. You know he he never heard from the borders. That was Kamala. She was appointed borders by Sleepy Joe. And I said, "Did you…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2024 | Kamala 30+ times |  Polymarket | No |
| Oct 11, 2024 | Kamala 30+ times | Polymarket | No |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Kamala 30+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Kamala 30+ times | Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Kamala 30+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Kamala” 30+ times at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 5, 2024 (25%), most recently on Oct 6, 2024.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Kamala 30+ times” next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Kamala 30+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/kamala-30plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=kamala%20%2830%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP