Will Donald Trump say “ICE / TSA”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “ICE / TSA” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 27, 2026 (100%), most recently on Apr 17, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
ICE / TSA
- Probability
- 48% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
He's a great guy. Actually, I'll tell you. Border Patrol and ICE and all law enforcement. Boy, I met a lot of your law enforcement…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “ICE / TSA”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “ICE / TSA” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 27, 2026 (100%), most recently on Apr 17, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “ICE / TSA” next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘ICE / TSA’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/ice-or-tsa (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=ice%20%2F%20tsa · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP