Will Donald Trump say “Free Speech”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Free Speech” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 5, 2025 (75%), most recently on Oct 15, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Free Speech
- Probability
- 43% · n=4
- Settled
- 3/4 (75%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…recently passed the Stop Nick Shirley Act, an outrageous attempt to crush free speech and to stop the corruption from being exposed. So, today, I'm…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | Free Speech |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Free Speech | Kalshi | Yes |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Free Speech | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jun 5, 2025 | Free Speech | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Free Speech”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Free Speech” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 5, 2025 (75%), most recently on Oct 15, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Free Speech” next time?
- 43%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Free Speech’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/free-speech (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=free%20speech · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP