Will Donald Trump say “Executive Order”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Executive Order” at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 2, 2025 (20%), most recently on Apr 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Executive Order
- Probability
- 36% · n=5
- Settled
- 1/5 (20%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…tell you. But I put in a I wanted to do an executive order where every anybody running for president has to take a cognitive…
…it. I've seen some examples, amazing actually. In March, I signed an executive order directing every relevant department and agency to work together to combat…
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Executive Order |  Polymarket | No |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Executive Order |  Kalshi | No |
| May 11, 2026 | Executive Order | Kalshi | No |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Executive Order | Polymarket | Yes |
| Sep 2, 2025 | Executive Order | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Executive Order”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Executive Order” at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 2, 2025 (20%), most recently on Apr 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Executive Order” next time?
- 36%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Executive Order’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/executive-order (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=executive%20order · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP