Donald Trump: Remarks, Oct 8, 2025
Polymarket What will Trump say at ANTIFA Roundtable on October 8?
Markets
18 words · 7 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Washington / DC | Yes | 58%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Thug | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Hamas | Yes | 42%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| ANTIFA 5+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Thank You 8+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| FBI | Yes | 34%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Charlie / Kirk | Yes | 30%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Radical Left 3+ times | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Transgender | No | 49%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Joe / Biden 3+ times | No | 46%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Crockett / Omar | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Political Violence | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trillion / Billion / Million 5+ times | No | 41%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| American Flag 3+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Democrat 4+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Soros | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mangione / Robinson / Crooks | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 7%n=131 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
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