Will Donald Trump say “Corrupt”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Corrupt” at 3 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 28, 2025 (60%), most recently on Nov 4, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 3/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Corrupt
- Probability
- 47% · n=5
- Settled
- 3/5 (60%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…does. And eliminated $125 billion in Obamacare subsidies, which is a totally corrupt form of health care. For foreign migrants, we uncovered 562,000 fraudulent small…
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Corrupt”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Corrupt” at 3 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 28, 2025 (60%), most recently on Nov 4, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Corrupt” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Corrupt’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/corrupt (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=corrupt · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP