Will Donald Trump say “Cambodia”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Cambodia” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 16, 2025 (50%), most recently on Jan 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

41%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Cambodia

Probability
41% · n=4
Settled
2/4 (50%)
Last 8 remarks
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.guestDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Florida · Oct 23, 2026 · 1:06:53In transcript

…the world. I'm going to give you one quick example. Vietnam and Cambodia, they have companies that go in there. They fence off a mangrove…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in South Carolina · Oct 21, 2026 · 58:59In transcript

…one hour. I would say one hour. We settled the conflicts between Cambodia and Thailand. Kosovo. I settled all these wars and they gave the…

Donald TrumpspeakerRemarks to the United Nations General Assembly in New York City · Sep 22, 2026 · 17:47In transcript

…various other reasons depending on the country. Among them, terms of settlement, Cambodia and Thailand, Kosovo and Serbia, the Democratic Republic of the Congo and…

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jan 22, 2026CambodiaPolymarketYes–
Dec 4, 2025CambodiaPolymarketNo–
Nov 9, 2025CambodiaPolymarketYes– (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet))
Oct 16, 2025CambodiaKalshiNo–

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Cambodia”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Cambodia” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 16, 2025 (50%), most recently on Jan 22, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Cambodia” next time?
41%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Cambodia’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/cambodia (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=cambodia · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP