Will Donald Trump say “Black Jobs”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Black Jobs” at any of the 4 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 18, 2024. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
41%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Black Jobs
- Probability
- 41% · n=4
- Settled
- 0/4 (0%)
- Last 6 speeches
- said in 0 of 6
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2024 | Black Jobs |  Polymarket | No |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Black Jobs | Polymarket | No |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Black Jobs | Polymarket | No |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Black Jobs | Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Black Jobs”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Black Jobs” at any of the 4 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 18, 2024.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Black Jobs” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Black Jobs’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/black-job (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=black%20job · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP