Will Donald Trump say “Kennedy / Autism”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Kennedy / Autism” at 4 of 7 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Nov 19, 2025 (57%), most recently on Feb 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 4/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Kennedy / Autism
- Probability
- 41% · n=7
- Settled
- 4/7 (57%)
- Last 6 speeches
- said in 1 of 6
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…with the help of Secretary of Health and Human Services, how much do we like this guy Robert F. Kennedy Jr. What a great guy.
…devastating to any country. So, when Nick showed us that, for example, autism services, which was supposed to be $1 billion, had now gotten to…
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2026 | Kennedy / Autism |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Kennedy / Autism | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Kennedy / Autism | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Kennedy / Autism | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Kennedy / Autism | Polymarket | No | – |
| Nov 25, 2025 | Kennedy / Autism | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Nov 19, 2025 | Kennedy / Autism | Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Kennedy / Autism”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Kennedy / Autism” at 4 of 7 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Nov 19, 2025 (57%), most recently on Feb 5, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Kennedy / Autism” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Kennedy / Autism’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/autism-or-kennedy (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=autism%20%2F%20kennedy · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP