Will Donald Trump say “Antisemitism / Antisemitic”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Antisemitism / Antisemitic” at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 28, 2025 (25%), most recently on Dec 17, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Antisemitism / Antisemitic
- Probability
- 40% · n=4
- Settled
- 1/4 (25%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | Antisemitism / Antisemitic |  Kalshi | No | – |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Antisemitism / Antisemitic | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Antisemitism / Antisemitic | Kalshi | No | – |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Antisemitic / Antisemitism |  Polymarket | No | – (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Antisemitism / Antisemitic”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Antisemitism / Antisemitic” at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 28, 2025 (25%), most recently on Dec 17, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Antisemitism / Antisemitic” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Antisemitism / Antisemitic’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/antisemitic-or-antisemitism (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=antisemitic%20%2F%20antisemitism · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP