Donald Trump: Weekly window, Sep 28, 2025
Polymarket What will Trump say this week (September 22 - 28)?
Coverage
0 known appearancesno known appearances yet Window: Sep 22, 2025 to Sep 28, 2025. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
13 words · 5 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | Yes | – | 0 | 70%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Bagram | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Big trouble | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Humanity | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Palestine / Palestinian | Yes | – | 0 | 44%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Horror show | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Antifa | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Tyler / Mangione / Kennedy | No | – | 0 | 52%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Australia | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gross incompetence | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| TikTok Jack | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Antisemitic / Antisemitism | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | – | 0 | 17%n=124 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-this-week-september-22-28 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP