What is the probability “Crowd / Crowded” is said on Winter Olympics broadcasts next time?

65%, from settlement history (n=9). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: play-by-play or color.

Will “Crowd / Crowded” be said on the next Winter Olympics broadcast?

Name: Winter Olympics: “Crowd / Crowded” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Crowd / Crowded” was said on Winter Olympics broadcasts in 7 of 9 games with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 17, 2026 (78%), most recently on Feb 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 65% (n=9, from settlement history), not a forecast.

65%from settlement history only · n=9counts: play-by-play or color

Last 10: 7/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes yes yes no yes yes
Streak: said the last 2 times
Counts: play-by-play or color

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 00:22 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Winter Olympics

Crowd / Crowded

Probability: 65% · n=9
Settled: 7/9 (78%)

Next listing counts: play-by-play or color

We don’t have transcripts for Winter Olympics yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

Announcers at Olympics Men's Ice Hockey: USA vs Canada · settled yes

Open the appearance

Mention: Olympics Closing Ceremony · not listed

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Announcers at Olympics Men's Freeski Halfpipe: Final · not listed

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Announcers at Olympics Men's Ice Hockey: USA vs Slovakia · settled yes

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Announcers at Olympics Men's Ice Hockey: Finland vs Canada · settled no

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Announcers at Olympics Women's Freeski Halfpipe: Qualifying · not listed

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Announcers at Olympics Women's Ice Hockey: USA vs Canada · settled yes

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Announcers at Olympics Women's Ice Hockey: Switzerland vs Sweden · settled yes

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Announcers at Olympics Men's Ice Hockey: USA vs Sweden · settled yes

Open the appearance

Announcers at Olympics Men's Ice Hockey: Canada vs Czechia · settled yes

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 9 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result
Feb 24, 2026	Crowd / Crowded	Kalshi	Yes
Feb 20, 2026	Crowd / Crowded	Kalshi	Yes
Feb 20, 2026	Crowd / Crowded	Kalshi	No
Feb 19, 2026	Crowd / Crowded	Kalshi	Yes
Feb 19, 2026	Crowd / Crowded	Kalshi	Yes
Feb 18, 2026	Crowd / Crowded	Kalshi	Yes
Feb 18, 2026	Crowd / Crowded	Kalshi	Yes
Feb 18, 2026	Crowd / Crowded	Kalshi	No
Feb 17, 2026	Crowd / Crowded	Kalshi	Yes

Questions

How often is “Crowd / Crowded” said on Winter Olympics broadcasts?: As of Oct 24, 2026, “Crowd / Crowded” was said on Winter Olympics broadcasts in 7 of 9 games with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 17, 2026 (78%), most recently on Feb 24, 2026.
What is the probability “Crowd / Crowded” is said on Winter Olympics broadcasts next time?: 65%, from settlement history (n=9). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: play-by-play or color.

Cite parrot.markets, “Winter Olympics: ‘Crowd / Crowded’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/sports/winter-olympics/words/crowd-or-crowded (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=winter-olympics&word=crowd%20%2F%20crowded · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=winter-olympics&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP