Will “Red Card” be said on the next FIFA World Cup broadcast?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Red Card” was said on FIFA World Cup broadcasts in 34 of 79 games with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 12, 2026 (43%), most recently on Jul 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=79, from settlement history), not a forecast.

43%from settlement history only · n=79counts: any official commentator
Last 10
4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no no no yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 3 times
Counts
any official commentator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

FIFA World Cup

Red Card

Probability
43% · n=79
Settled
34/79 (43%)

Next listing counts: any official commentator

We don’t have transcripts for FIFA World Cup yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will announcers say during the FIFA World Cup Final · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will announcers say during France vs England · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will the announcers say during England vs Argentina · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will the announcers say during France vs Spain · settled no

Open the appearance

What will the announcers say during Norway vs England · settled no

Open the appearance

What will the announcers say during Argentina vs Switzerland · settled no

Open the appearance

What will the announcers say during Spain vs Belgium · settled no

Open the appearance

What will the announcers say during France vs Morocco · settled no

Open the appearance

What will the announcers say during Switzerland vs Colombia · settled no

Open the appearance

What will the announcers say during Argentina vs Egypt · settled yes

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 60 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jul 19, 2026Red CardPolymarketYes
Jul 19, 2026Red CardKalshiYes
Jul 18, 2026Red CardPolymarketYes
Jul 18, 2026Red CardKalshiYes
Jul 15, 2026Red CardKalshiYes
Jul 14, 2026Red CardKalshiNo
Jul 11, 2026Red CardKalshiNo
Jul 11, 2026Red CardKalshiNo
Jul 10, 2026Red CardKalshiNo
Jul 9, 2026Red CardKalshiNo
Jul 7, 2026Red CardKalshiNo
Jul 7, 2026Red CardKalshiYes
Jul 6, 2026Red CardKalshiYes
Jul 6, 2026Red CardKalshiYes
Jul 5, 2026Red CardKalshiYes
Jul 5, 2026Red CardKalshiYes
Jul 4, 2026Red CardKalshiYes
Jul 4, 2026Red CardKalshiNo
Jul 3, 2026Red CardKalshiNo
Jul 3, 2026Red CardKalshiYes
Jul 3, 2026Red CardKalshiNo
Jul 2, 2026Red CardKalshiYes
Jul 2, 2026Red CardKalshiNo
Jul 2, 2026Red CardKalshiYes
Jul 1, 2026Red CardKalshiYes
Jul 1, 2026Red CardKalshiNo
Jul 1, 2026Red CardKalshiNo
Jun 30, 2026Red CardKalshiYes
Jun 30, 2026Red CardKalshiNo
Jun 30, 2026Red CardKalshiNo
Jun 29, 2026Red CardKalshiYes
Jun 29, 2026Red CardKalshiYes
Jun 29, 2026Red CardKalshiNo
Jun 28, 2026Red CardKalshiYes
Jun 27, 2026Red CardKalshiNo
Jun 27, 2026Red CardKalshiNo
Jun 27, 2026Red CardKalshiYes
Jun 27, 2026Red CardKalshiNo
Jun 27, 2026Red CardKalshiNo
Jun 27, 2026Red CardKalshiYes
Jun 26, 2026Red CardKalshiYes
Jun 26, 2026Red CardKalshiYes
Jun 26, 2026Red CardKalshiNo
Jun 26, 2026Red CardKalshiYes
Jun 26, 2026Red CardKalshiYes
Jun 26, 2026Red CardKalshiNo
Jun 25, 2026Red CardKalshiNo
Jun 25, 2026Red CardKalshiNo
Jun 25, 2026Red CardKalshiYes
Jun 25, 2026Red CardKalshiNo
Jun 25, 2026Red CardKalshiNo
Jun 25, 2026Red CardKalshiNo
Jun 24, 2026Red CardKalshiYes
Jun 24, 2026Red CardKalshiYes
Jun 24, 2026Red CardKalshiYes
Jun 24, 2026Red CardKalshiNo
Jun 24, 2026Red CardKalshiYes
Jun 24, 2026Red CardKalshiYes
Jun 23, 2026Red CardKalshiNo
Jun 23, 2026Red CardKalshiNo

Questions

How often is “Red Card” said on FIFA World Cup broadcasts?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Red Card” was said on FIFA World Cup broadcasts in 34 of 79 games with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 12, 2026 (43%), most recently on Jul 19, 2026.
What is the probability “Red Card” is said on FIFA World Cup broadcasts next time?
43%, from settlement history (n=79). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: any official commentator.

Cite parrot.markets, “FIFA World Cup: ‘Red Card’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/sports/fifa-world-cup/words/red-card (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fifa-world-cup&word=red%20card · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fifa-world-cup&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP