Will “Red Card” be said on the next FIFA World Cup broadcast?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Red Card” was said on FIFA World Cup broadcasts in 34 of 79 games with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 12, 2026 (43%), most recently on Jul 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=79, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no no no yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- any official commentator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceFIFA World Cup
Red Card
- Probability
- 43% · n=79
- Settled
- 34/79 (43%)
Next listing counts: any official commentator
We don’t have transcripts for FIFA World Cup yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 60 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2026 | Red Card | Yes | |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Red Card | Yes | |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Red Card | Yes | |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Red Card | Yes | |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Red Card | Yes | |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Red Card | No | |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Red Card | No | |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Red Card | No | |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Red Card | No | |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Red Card | No | |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Red Card | No | |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Red Card | Yes | |
| Jul 6, 2026 | Red Card | Yes | |
| Jul 6, 2026 | Red Card | Yes | |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Red Card | Yes | |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Red Card | Yes | |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Red Card | Yes | |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Red Card | No | |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Red Card | No | |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Red Card | Yes | |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Red Card | No | |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Red Card | Yes | |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Red Card | No | |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Red Card | Yes | |
| Jul 1, 2026 | Red Card | Yes | |
| Jul 1, 2026 | Red Card | No | |
| Jul 1, 2026 | Red Card | No | |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Red Card | Yes | |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Red Card | No | |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Red Card | No | |
| Jun 29, 2026 | Red Card | Yes | |
| Jun 29, 2026 | Red Card | Yes | |
| Jun 29, 2026 | Red Card | No | |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Red Card | Yes | |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Red Card | No | |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Red Card | No | |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Red Card | Yes | |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Red Card | No | |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Red Card | No | |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Red Card | Yes | |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Red Card | Yes | |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Red Card | Yes | |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Red Card | No | |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Red Card | Yes | |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Red Card | Yes | |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Red Card | No | |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Red Card | No | |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Red Card | No | |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Red Card | Yes | |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Red Card | No | |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Red Card | No | |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Red Card | No | |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Red Card | Yes | |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Red Card | Yes | |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Red Card | Yes | |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Red Card | No | |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Red Card | Yes | |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Red Card | Yes | |
| Jun 23, 2026 | Red Card | No | |
| Jun 23, 2026 | Red Card | No |
Questions
- How often is “Red Card” said on FIFA World Cup broadcasts?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Red Card” was said on FIFA World Cup broadcasts in 34 of 79 games with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 12, 2026 (43%), most recently on Jul 19, 2026.
- What is the probability “Red Card” is said on FIFA World Cup broadcasts next time?
- 43%, from settlement history (n=79). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any official commentator.
Cite parrot.markets, “FIFA World Cup: ‘Red Card’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/sports/fifa-world-cup/words/red-card (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fifa-world-cup&word=red%20card · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fifa-world-cup&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP