England at Mexico
EnglandENG
3-2Final
MexicoMEX
History only on Kalshi: sports mention markets paused 31 Jul 2026 Kalshi: play-by-play or color 
Kalshi Polymarket: any official commentator 
Polymarket
Kalshi Polymarket: any official commentator PolymarketWords
49 words · history before this game| Word | League | Last 10 | These teams | Network | Probability | Result | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Turf / Pitch | 55/6387% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no yes yes yes yes no | 100% n=6 | 95% n=41 | 85%n=63 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Captain | 78/9087% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no yes no yes yes yes yes | 62% n=8 | 83% n=58 | 83%n=90 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Fan 5+ times | 5/5100% | 5/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes | – | 100% n=5 | 81%n=5 from settlement history | No | – |
| History | 62/7583% | 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | 83% n=6 | 84% n=51 | 79%n=75 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Comeback / Come Back | 74/9082% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes yes yes no yes yes | 75% n=8 | 81% n=58 | 79%n=90 from settlement history | No | – |
| Visa | 70/9078% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | 75% n=8 | 72% n=58 | 74%n=90 from settlement history | No | – |
| Goal 60+ times | 12/1580% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes yes yes yes no no | – | 77% n=13 | 74%n=15 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Nutmeg / Nutmegs | 27/9030% | 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no no yes no yes yes yes | 38% n=8 | 41% n=58 | 70%n=90 from settlement history | No | – |
| Record | 65/9171% | 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | 50% n=8 | 78% n=58 | 68%n=91 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| VAR | 26/3672% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no no yes yes no yes | – | 72% n=25 | 68%n=36 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Qatar / Russia | 47/9052% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no yes yes yes no yes yes | 50% n=8 | 52% n=58 | 67%n=90 from settlement history | No | – |
| Messi | 60/9067% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no yes yes yes no yes | 75% n=8 | 66% n=58 | 64%n=90 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Extra Time | 1/1100% | 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | Yes | – |
| Champion | 58/9064% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no yes yes yes no no | 62% n=8 | 72% n=58 | 62%n=90 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Azteca | 3/475% | 3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes | – | – | 61%n=4 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Own Goal | 38/6360% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no yes yes no yes yes | 50% n=6 | 54% n=41 | 58%n=63 from settlement history | No | – |
| Handball | 54/9060% | 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes no yes no no yes yes | 75% n=8 | 50% n=58 | 57%n=90 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Scissor | 1/1100% | 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | No | – |
| Weather | 3/560% | 3/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes yes | – | 60% n=5 | 56%n=5 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Altitude | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | Yes | – | |
| Equalizer | 19/3653% | 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes no no yes yes yes no | – | 56% n=25 | 51%n=36 from settlement history | No | – |
| Save / Saves 5+ times | 1/250% | 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes | – | – | 51%n=2 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Qatar | 47/9052% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes yes yes yes no yes yes | 50% n=8 | 52% n=58 | 51%n=90 from settlement history | No | – |
| Shot 10+ times | 5/1145% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no yes yes yes yes | – | 40% n=10 | 46%n=11 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Beckham | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | Yes | – | |
| Upset | 1/333% | 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no | – | – | 43%n=3 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Set Piece 5+ times | 1/333% | 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no | – | – | 43%n=3 from settlement history | No | – |
| Hattrick / Hat Trick | 39/9043% | 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no no no no no no | 62% n=8 | 45% n=58 | 43%n=90 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Energy | 0/10% | 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | Yes | – |
| Soccer | 26/6441% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no yes yes no no yes | 17% n=6 | 45% n=42 | 41%n=64 from settlement history | No | – |
| Ref / Referee 10+ times | 0/10% | 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | Yes | – |
| Red Card | 26/6540% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no yes no yes no no yes | 29% n=7 | 37% n=43 | 41%n=65 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Ronaldo | 35/9138% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no yes yes yes no no | 62% n=8 | 47% n=58 | 39%n=91 from settlement history | No | – |
| Crossbar | 33/9037% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no no no no no no no | 38% n=8 | 33% n=58 | 37%n=90 from settlement history | No | – |
| Golden Boot | 28/7836% | 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no no yes yes yes no yes | 38% n=8 | 38% n=56 | 36%n=78 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| What a Save | 28/9031% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no yes yes yes no yes | 38% n=8 | 33% n=58 | 33%n=90 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Cleat | 1/520% | 1/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no yes | – | 20% n=5 | 32%n=5 from settlement history | No | – |
| Nutmeg / Meg | 27/9030% | 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no no yes no yes yes yes | 38% n=8 | 41% n=58 | 31%n=90 from settlement history | No | – |
| Penalty Shootout | 17/7224% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes no yes yes no yes yes | 0% n=6 | 31% n=49 | 31%n=72 from settlement history | No | – |
| Penalty Kick | 10/3628% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no yes yes no no no yes | – | 24% n=25 | 30%n=36 from settlement history | No | – |
| Gianni / Infantino | 16/6325% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no yes yes no no yes no | 33% n=6 | 27% n=41 | 27%n=63 from settlement history | No | – |
| Shutout / Shut Out | 13/9014% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no yes no no no no yes | 25% n=8 | 16% n=58 | 27%n=90 from settlement history | No | – |
| Golden Goal | 0/50% | 0/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no | – | 0% n=5 | 18%n=5 from settlement history | No | – |
| Maradona / Pelé | 5/3614% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no no yes no no no no | – | 20% n=25 | 17%n=36 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Bicycle | 4/3611% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | – | 12% n=25 | 14%n=36 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Lenovo | 3/378% | 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no no no no no no | – | 12% n=26 | 11%n=37 from settlement history | No | – |
| Powerade | 7/908% | 2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no no no no no yes | 12% n=8 | 12% n=58 | 10%n=90 from settlement history | No | – |
| Trump | 3/903% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | 0% n=8 | 3% n=58 | 5%n=90 from settlement history | No | – |
| Event does not qualify | 0/900% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | 0% n=8 | 0% n=58 | – | No | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal.
Transcript
History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?appearance=fifa-world-cup%3A2026-07-05%3Agame-eng-mex · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP