Belgium at Spain
BelgiumBEL
1-2Final
SpainESP
History only on Kalshi: sports mention markets paused 31 Jul 2026 Kalshi: any official commentator 
Kalshi Polymarket: any official commentator 
Polymarket
Kalshi Polymarket: any official commentator PolymarketWords
50 words · history before this game| Word | League | Last 10 | These teams | Network | Probability | Result | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Turf / Pitch | 61/7087% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes yes no yes yes yes | 62% n=8 | 94% n=48 | 84%n=70 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Captain | 83/9786% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes no yes no yes yes | 90% n=10 | 82% n=65 | 82%n=97 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| History | 69/8284% | 10/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | 90% n=10 | 86% n=58 | 81%n=82 from settlement history | No | – |
| Comeback / Come Back | 79/9781% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes no yes yes yes no yes | 80% n=10 | 80% n=65 | 78%n=97 from settlement history | No | – |
| Fan 5+ times | 9/1182% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes no yes yes yes no | – | 82% n=11 | 74%n=11 from settlement history | No | – |
| Record | 71/9872% | 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes no yes yes yes | 70% n=10 | 78% n=65 | 69%n=98 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Visa | 70/9772% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | 60% n=10 | 65% n=65 | 69%n=97 from settlement history | No | – |
| Goal 60+ times | 16/2273% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no yes no yes no yes yes | – | 70% n=20 | 68%n=22 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Messi | 67/9769% | 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | 80% n=10 | 69% n=65 | 67%n=97 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| VAR | 29/4367% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no yes no no yes yes no | 67% n=6 | 66% n=32 | 65%n=43 from settlement history | No | – |
| Champion | 65/9767% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | 90% n=10 | 75% n=65 | 64%n=97 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Corner 12+ times | 1/1100% | 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | No | – |
| Penalty 5+ times | 4/667% | 4/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no yes yes | – | 67% n=6 | 61%n=6 from settlement history | No | – |
| Qatar / Russia | 50/9752% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no no no yes no yes yes | 60% n=10 | 51% n=65 | 58%n=97 from settlement history | No | – |
| Handball | 59/9761% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no yes yes yes no yes yes | 60% n=10 | 52% n=65 | 58%n=97 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| What a Strike / What a Finish | 1/1100% | 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | No | – |
| Own Goal | 41/7059% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no no no yes yes yes no | 62% n=8 | 52% n=48 | 56%n=70 from settlement history | No | – |
| Rams / Chargers | 2/367% | 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes | – | – | 55%n=3 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Bench | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | Yes | – | |
| Pressure 7+ times | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | No | – | |
| Transition | 1/250% | 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no | – | – | 51%n=2 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Qatar | 50/9752% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no no no yes no yes yes | 60% n=10 | 51% n=65 | 50%n=97 from settlement history | No | – |
| Barcelona | 1/250% | 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no | – | – | 46%n=2 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Keyne / Brother | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | No | – | |
| Iniesta | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | Yes | – | |
| Equalizer | 19/4344% | 2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no no no no no no no | 33% n=6 | 44% n=32 | 44%n=43 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Red Card | 31/7243% | 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes yes yes yes yes no no | 62% n=8 | 42% n=50 | 43%n=72 from settlement history | No | – |
| Hattrick / Hat Trick | 41/9742% | 2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no yes no yes no no no | 30% n=10 | 43% n=65 | 42%n=97 from settlement history | No | – |
| Soccer | 29/7141% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes no no yes no no yes | 50% n=8 | 45% n=49 | 41%n=71 from settlement history | No | – |
| USA | 0/10% | 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | Yes | – |
| Golden Boot | 34/8540% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes yes yes no yes yes yes | 33% n=9 | 43% n=63 | 40%n=85 from settlement history | No | – |
| Ronaldo | 38/9839% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes no yes no yes no no | 20% n=10 | 46% n=65 | 40%n=98 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Crossbar | 36/9737% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no yes no no yes yes | 60% n=10 | 34% n=65 | 38%n=97 from settlement history | No | – |
| Penalty Shootout | 22/7928% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes no yes no yes yes yes | 25% n=8 | 36% n=56 | 37%n=79 from settlement history | No | – |
| Super Bowl | 0/10% | 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | No | – |
| What a Save | 32/9733% | 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes yes no no no yes yes | 10% n=10 | 35% n=65 | 34%n=97 from settlement history | No | – |
| Penalty Kick | 13/4330% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes no no no no yes yes | 17% n=6 | 28% n=32 | 32%n=43 from settlement history | No | – |
| Nutmeg / Meg | 29/9730% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no no no yes no no yes | 30% n=10 | 40% n=65 | 31%n=97 from settlement history | No | – |
| Gianni / Infantino | 19/7027% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no no yes no yes yes | 25% n=8 | 29% n=48 | 29%n=70 from settlement history | No | – |
| Shot 20+ times | 0/40% | 0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no | – | – | 24%n=4 from settlement history | No | – |
| Shutout / Shut Out | 14/9714% | 2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no no no yes no no no | 20% n=10 | 15% n=65 | 24%n=97 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Maradona / Pelé | 7/4316% | 2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no yes no no no no yes | 17% n=6 | 22% n=32 | 19%n=43 from settlement history | No | – |
| Cleat | 1/119% | 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no no no no no no | – | 9% n=11 | 18%n=11 from settlement history | No | – |
| Bicycle | 6/4314% | 2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no yes no no no yes no | 0% n=6 | 16% n=32 | 17%n=43 from settlement history | No | – |
| SoFi Stadium | 0/70% | 0/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no | – | 0% n=5 | 14%n=7 from settlement history | No | – |
| Lenovo | 4/449% | 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no no no no no no | 0% n=6 | 12% n=33 | 12%n=44 from settlement history | No | – |
| Powerade | 9/979% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no no yes no no no yes | 20% n=10 | 14% n=65 | 11%n=97 from settlement history | No | – |
| Golden Goal | 0/120% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | – | 0% n=12 | 9%n=12 from settlement history | No | – |
| Trump | 3/973% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | 0% n=10 | 3% n=65 | 5%n=97 from settlement history | No | – |
| Event does not qualify | 0/970% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | 0% n=10 | 0% n=65 | – | No | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal.
Transcript
History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?appearance=fifa-world-cup%3A2026-07-10%3Agame-bel-esp · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP