Spain at France
SpainESP
2-0Final
FranceFRA
History only on Kalshi: sports mention markets paused 31 Jul 2026 Kalshi: any official commentator 
Kalshi Polymarket: any official commentator 
Polymarket
Kalshi Polymarket: any official commentator PolymarketWords
54 words · history before this game| Word | League | Last 10 | These teams | Network | Probability | Result | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Captain | 85/10085% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes no yes yes yes yes no | 75% n=12 | 81% n=68 | 81%n=100 from settlement history | No | – |
| Comeback / Come Back | 81/10081% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes yes no yes no yes yes | 83% n=12 | 79% n=68 | 77%n=100 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Goal 60+ times | 19/2576% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes no yes yes yes yes yes | 67% n=6 | 74% n=23 | 72%n=25 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Record | 73/10172% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no yes yes yes yes yes no | 100% n=12 | 78% n=68 | 69%n=101 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Messi | 70/10070% | 10/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | 100% n=12 | 71% n=68 | 68%n=100 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Champion | 68/10068% | 10/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | 92% n=12 | 76% n=68 | 65%n=100 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| VAR | 31/4667% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no yes yes no no yes yes | 38% n=8 | 66% n=35 | 65%n=46 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Suspension / Suspended | 2/2100% | 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes | – | – | 63%n=2 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Handball | 61/10061% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes no yes yes yes no yes | 50% n=12 | 53% n=68 | 58%n=100 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Texas | 1/1100% | 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | No | – |
| Own Goal | 42/7358% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes yes yes no no yes no | 40% n=10 | 51% n=51 | 55%n=73 from settlement history | No | – |
| Barcelona | 2/367% | 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes | – | – | 55%n=3 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Qatar / Russia | 51/10051% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no yes yes no yes no | 50% n=12 | 50% n=68 | 54%n=100 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Bastille | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | No | – | |
| Birthday | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | Yes | – | |
| Block / Blocks / Blocked 15+ times | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | No | – | |
| Opportunity / Chance 30+ times | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | No | – | |
| Depth | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | Yes | – | |
| Euro | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | Yes | – | |
| Heavyweight | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | No | – | |
| Isolate / Isolates / Isolated | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | Yes | – | |
| Nations League / Nation League | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | Yes | – | |
| Transition 5+ times | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | No | – | |
| Vertical / Verticality | 1/250% | 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no | – | – | 52%n=2 from settlement history | No | – |
| Nutmeg / Nutmegs | 30/10030% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no no yes no no yes | 50% n=12 | 40% n=68 | 50%n=100 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Qatar | 51/10051% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no yes yes no yes no | 50% n=12 | 50% n=68 | 50%n=100 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| What a Strike / What a Finish | 2/450% | 2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes | – | – | 47%n=4 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Zlatan / Ibrahimovic | 1/250% | 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes | – | – | 47%n=2 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Zidane | 1/250% | 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no | – | – | 46%n=2 from settlement history | No | – |
| Ballon d'Or | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | Yes | – | |
| Equalizer | 21/4646% | 2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no yes yes no | 25% n=8 | 46% n=35 | 45%n=46 from settlement history | No | – |
| Soccer | 31/7442% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes no no yes no yes yes | 40% n=10 | 46% n=52 | 42%n=74 from settlement history | No | – |
| Cowboys | 2/540% | 2/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no yes | – | 40% n=5 | 42%n=5 from settlement history | No | – |
| Red Card | 31/7541% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes no no no no no | 50% n=10 | 40% n=53 | 42%n=75 from settlement history | No | – |
| Hattrick / Hat Trick | 42/10042% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes no no no no yes no | 42% n=12 | 43% n=68 | 41%n=100 from settlement history | No | – |
| Ronaldo | 40/10140% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no yes no no yes no yes | 50% n=12 | 47% n=68 | 40%n=101 from settlement history | No | – |
| Golden Boot | 35/8840% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no yes yes yes no yes no | 50% n=12 | 42% n=66 | 40%n=88 from settlement history | No | – |
| Penalty Shootout | 24/8229% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no yes yes yes no yes yes | 50% n=10 | 37% n=59 | 39%n=82 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Crossbar | 37/10037% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no no yes yes no no yes | 58% n=12 | 34% n=68 | 38%n=100 from settlement history | No | – |
| Keyne / Brother | 0/10% | 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | Yes | – |
| What a Save | 33/10033% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no no yes yes no no yes | 25% n=12 | 35% n=68 | 34%n=100 from settlement history | No | – |
| Penalty Kick | 14/4630% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no yes yes no no yes | 38% n=8 | 29% n=35 | 32%n=46 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Nutmeg / Meg | 30/10030% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no no yes no no yes | 50% n=12 | 40% n=68 | 31%n=100 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Gianni / Infantino | 20/7327% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no yes yes no no yes | 30% n=10 | 29% n=51 | 29%n=73 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Golden Ball | 0/20% | 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no | – | – | 28%n=2 from settlement history | No | – |
| Shakira | 0/20% | 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no | – | – | 28%n=2 from settlement history | No | – |
| Shutout / Shut Out | 16/10016% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no no no yes no yes | 25% n=12 | 18% n=68 | 28%n=100 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| GOAT | 0/30% | 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no | – | – | 24%n=3 from settlement history | No | – |
| Maradona / Pelé | 8/4617% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no no yes no yes no | 25% n=8 | 23% n=35 | 20%n=46 from settlement history | No | – |
| Lenovo | 5/4711% | 2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no no no no no yes | 12% n=8 | 14% n=36 | 13%n=47 from settlement history | No | – |
| AT&T Stadium | 0/80% | 0/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no | – | 0% n=8 | 13%n=8 from settlement history | No | – |
| Powerade | 10/10010% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no no no yes no yes no | 33% n=12 | 15% n=68 | 12%n=100 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Trump | 3/1003% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | 0% n=12 | 3% n=68 | 4%n=100 from settlement history | No | – |
| Event does not qualify | 0/1000% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | 0% n=12 | 0% n=68 | – | No | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal.
Transcript
History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?appearance=fifa-world-cup%3A2026-07-14%3Agame-esp-fra · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP