Belgium at United States
BelgiumBEL
4-1Final
History only on Kalshi: sports mention markets paused 31 Jul 2026 Kalshi: play-by-play or color 
Kalshi Polymarket: any official commentator 
Polymarket
Kalshi Polymarket: any official commentator PolymarketWords
55 words · history before this game| Word | League | Last 10 | These teams | Network | Probability | Result | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Turf / Pitch | 57/6588% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes yes yes no yes yes | 83% n=6 | 95% n=43 | 84%n=65 from settlement history | No | – |
| Fan 5+ times | 6/786% | 6/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes no | – | 86% n=7 | 83%n=7 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Captain | 80/9287% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no yes yes yes yes yes yes | 100% n=8 | 83% n=60 | 83%n=92 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| History | 64/7783% | 10/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | 88% n=8 | 85% n=53 | 79%n=77 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Comeback / Come Back | 75/9282% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes yes no yes yes yes no | 88% n=8 | 80% n=60 | 79%n=92 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Visa | 70/9276% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | 75% n=8 | 70% n=60 | 73%n=92 from settlement history | No | – |
| Goal 60+ times | 13/1776% | 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes yes yes no no no yes | – | 73% n=15 | 70%n=17 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Record | 67/9372% | 10/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | 62% n=8 | 78% n=60 | 69%n=93 from settlement history | No | – |
| VAR | 27/3871% | 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no yes yes no yes no yes | – | 70% n=27 | 67%n=38 from settlement history | No | – |
| Messi | 62/9267% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes yes no yes yes yes | 38% n=8 | 67% n=60 | 65%n=92 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Champion | 60/9265% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes yes no no yes yes | 75% n=8 | 73% n=60 | 62%n=92 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Red Devil | 1/1100% | 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | No | – |
| Save / Saves 5+ times | 3/475% | 3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes | – | – | 58%n=4 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Nutmeg / Nutmegs | 27/9229% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes no yes yes yes no no | 50% n=8 | 40% n=60 | 58%n=92 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Own Goal | 38/6558% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes yes no yes yes no no | 83% n=6 | 51% n=43 | 57%n=65 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Handball | 55/9260% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes no no yes yes no yes | 88% n=8 | 50% n=60 | 57%n=92 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Seahawks | 2/367% | 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no | – | – | 54%n=3 from settlement history | No | – |
| California | 2/367% | 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no | – | – | 54%n=3 from settlement history | No | – |
| 2014 | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | Yes | – | |
| NFL | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | No | – | |
| Ref / Referee 10+ times | 2/367% | 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes | – | – | 51%n=3 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Extra Time | 2/367% | 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes | – | – | 51%n=3 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Qatar | 47/9251% | 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes yes no yes yes no no | 75% n=8 | 50% n=60 | 50%n=92 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Equalizer | 19/3850% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no yes yes yes no no no | – | 52% n=27 | 50%n=38 from settlement history | No | – |
| Weather | 4/757% | 4/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes yes no yes | – | 57% n=7 | 50%n=7 from settlement history | No | – |
| Appeal / Appealed | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | No | – | |
| Darnold | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | No | – | |
| Super Bowl | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | No | – | |
| Suspend / Suspended | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | Yes | – | |
| Upset | 2/450% | 2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes | – | – | 43%n=4 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Shot 10+ times | 6/1346% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no yes yes yes yes no yes | – | 42% n=12 | 43%n=13 from settlement history | No | – |
| Set Piece 5+ times | 1/425% | 1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no | – | – | 43%n=4 from settlement history | No | – |
| Hattrick / Hat Trick | 40/9243% | 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no yes | 25% n=8 | 45% n=60 | 42%n=92 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Soccer | 27/6641% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes yes no no yes yes no | 86% n=7 | 45% n=44 | 42%n=66 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Red Card | 28/6742% | 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no yes no no yes yes yes | 43% n=7 | 40% n=45 | 41%n=67 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Energy | 1/250% | 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes | – | – | 41%n=2 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Ronaldo | 36/9339% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes yes yes no no yes no | 0% n=8 | 47% n=60 | 40%n=93 from settlement history | No | – |
| Crossbar | 33/9236% | 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no no no no no no | 38% n=8 | 32% n=60 | 37%n=92 from settlement history | No | – |
| Golden Boot | 30/8038% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes yes yes no yes yes yes | 14% n=7 | 40% n=58 | 37%n=80 from settlement history | No | – |
| Space Needle | 0/10% | 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | No | – |
| What a Save | 30/9233% | 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes yes yes no yes yes yes | 12% n=8 | 35% n=60 | 33%n=92 from settlement history | No | – |
| Penalty Shootout | 18/7424% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes no yes yes yes no | 14% n=7 | 31% n=51 | 33%n=74 from settlement history | No | – |
| Penalty Kick | 11/3829% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes no no no yes yes no | – | 26% n=27 | 31%n=38 from settlement history | No | – |
| Nutmeg / Meg | 27/9229% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes no yes yes yes no no | 50% n=8 | 40% n=60 | 31%n=92 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Gianni / Infantino | 16/6525% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes no no yes no no no | 17% n=6 | 26% n=43 | 27%n=65 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Shutout / Shut Out | 13/9214% | 2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no no no no yes no no | 38% n=8 | 15% n=60 | 26%n=92 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| American Dream | 0/30% | 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no | – | – | 24%n=3 from settlement history | No | – |
| Lumen Field | 0/50% | 0/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no | – | – | 18%n=5 from settlement history | No | – |
| Maradona / Pelé | 6/3816% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes no no no no no yes | – | 22% n=27 | 16%n=38 from settlement history | No | – |
| Golden Goal | 0/70% | 0/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no | – | 0% n=7 | 16%n=7 from settlement history | No | – |
| Bicycle | 5/3813% | 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no yes | – | 15% n=27 | 14%n=38 from settlement history | No | – |
| Lenovo | 4/3910% | 2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no no no no yes no | 20% n=5 | 14% n=28 | 14%n=39 from settlement history | No | – |
| Powerade | 7/928% | 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no yes no no | 25% n=8 | 12% n=60 | 9%n=92 from settlement history | No | – |
| Trump | 3/923% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | 0% n=8 | 3% n=60 | 5%n=92 from settlement history | No | – |
| Event does not qualify | 0/920% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | 0% n=8 | 0% n=60 | – | No | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal.
Transcript
History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?appearance=fifa-world-cup%3A2026-07-06%3Agame-bel-usa · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP