Germany at Ecuador
GermanyGER
1-2Final
EcuadorECU
History only on Kalshi: sports mention markets paused 31 Jul 2026 Kalshi: play-by-play or color 
Kalshi Polymarket: any official commentator 
Polymarket
Kalshi Polymarket: any official commentator PolymarketWords
41 words · history before this game| Word | League | Last 10 | These teams | Network | Probability | Result | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Header | 53/5498% | 10/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | – | 100% n=33 | 97%n=54 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Visa | 52/5496% | 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes no yes yes yes | – | 100% n=33 | 94%n=54 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Captain | 49/5491% | 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | – | 88% n=33 | 87%n=54 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Comeback / Come Back | 46/5485% | 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes no yes yes yes no yes | – | 85% n=33 | 81%n=54 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Goal 20+ times | 7/7100% | 7/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | – | 100% n=6 | 81%n=7 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Turf / Pitch | 23/2785% | 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes no yes yes yes | – | 94% n=16 | 80%n=27 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| History | 45/5483% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes yes yes yes yes no | – | 82% n=33 | 79%n=54 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Own Goal | 20/2774% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes yes no yes yes yes no | – | 62% n=16 | 70%n=27 from settlement history | No | – |
| Assist | 39/5472% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes no yes yes yes yes no | – | 79% n=33 | 69%n=54 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Goal 40+ times | 4/4100% | 4/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes | – | – | 69%n=4 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Record | 38/5569% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes no yes no no | – | 76% n=33 | 66%n=55 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Champion | 34/5463% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes no no no no yes no | – | 70% n=33 | 63%n=54 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Messi | 35/5465% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes no yes yes yes yes yes | – | 55% n=33 | 63%n=54 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Lenovo | 1/1100% | 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | No | – |
| Handball | 32/5459% | 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no yes no yes yes yes no | – | 42% n=33 | 57%n=54 from settlement history | No | – |
| Qatar | 29/5454% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no yes no no no no yes | – | 48% n=33 | 54%n=54 from settlement history | No | – |
| Hattrick / Hat Trick | 28/5452% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no no no no yes yes | – | 61% n=33 | 52%n=54 from settlement history | No | – |
| Group 5+ times | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | Yes | – | |
| Bicycle | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | No | – | |
| Equalizer | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | Yes | – | |
| Giants / Jets | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | No | – | |
| Maradona / Pelé | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | No | – | |
| Penalty Kick | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | Yes | – | |
| VAR | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | Yes | – | |
| Ronaldo | 24/5544% | 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes no yes yes no yes no | – | 52% n=33 | 44%n=55 from settlement history | No | – |
| Soccer | 12/2843% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no yes yes no yes | – | 47% n=17 | 43%n=28 from settlement history | No | – |
| Hydration Break 5+ times | 0/20% | 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no | – | – | 40%n=2 from settlement history | No | – |
| Crossbar | 21/5439% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no no no yes no yes no | – | 30% n=33 | 40%n=54 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Red Card | 10/2934% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no yes yes no yes yes yes | – | 33% n=18 | 36%n=29 from settlement history | No | – |
| What a Save | 14/5426% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes no no yes no no no | – | 21% n=33 | 28%n=54 from settlement history | No | – |
| Nutmeg / Meg | 13/5424% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes no no no no yes no | – | 36% n=33 | 27%n=54 from settlement history | No | – |
| MetLife Stadium | 0/30% | 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no | – | – | 26%n=3 from settlement history | No | – |
| Golden Boot | 11/4226% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes no yes no yes no no | – | 23% n=31 | 22%n=42 from settlement history | No | – |
| Gianni / Infantino | 5/2719% | 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no no no no no no | – | 19% n=16 | 22%n=27 from settlement history | No | – |
| Shutout | 7/5413% | 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no no no no no no | – | 15% n=33 | 16%n=54 from settlement history | No | – |
| Penalty Shootout | 7/5413% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | – | 15% n=33 | 13%n=54 from settlement history | No | – |
| Powerade | 4/547% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | – | 12% n=33 | 9%n=54 from settlement history | No | – |
| Adidas | 1/402% | 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no yes no no no no | – | 3% n=29 | 9%n=40 from settlement history | No | – |
| Trump | 3/546% | 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no yes no | – | 6% n=33 | 8%n=54 from settlement history | No | – |
| Verizon | 0/400% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | – | 0% n=29 | 4%n=40 from settlement history | No | – |
| Event does not qualify | 0/540% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | – | 0% n=33 | – | No | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal.
Transcript
History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?appearance=fifa-world-cup%3A2026-06-25%3Agame-ger-ecu · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP