France at Paraguay
FranceFRA
1-0Final
ParaguayPAR
History only on Kalshi: sports mention markets paused 31 Jul 2026 Kalshi: play-by-play or color 
Kalshi Polymarket: any official commentator 
Polymarket
Kalshi Polymarket: any official commentator PolymarketWords
49 words · history before this game| Word | League | Last 10 | These teams | Network | Probability | Result | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Turf / Pitch | 54/6189% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes yes yes no yes yes yes | 100% n=6 | 97% n=39 | 85%n=61 from settlement history | No | – |
| Goal 60+ times | 12/1392% | 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no yes yes yes yes yes | – | 91% n=11 | 83%n=13 from settlement history | No | – |
| Captain | 76/8886% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes yes no yes no yes yes | 62% n=8 | 82% n=56 | 83%n=88 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Comeback / Come Back | 72/8882% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes no yes yes yes yes no | 75% n=8 | 80% n=56 | 78%n=88 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Visa | 70/8880% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | 75% n=8 | 75% n=56 | 78%n=88 from settlement history | No | – |
| History | 60/7382% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | 100% n=5 | 84% n=49 | 78%n=73 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Fan 5+ times | 3/3100% | 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes | – | – | 70%n=3 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| VAR | 25/3474% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes yes yes no no yes yes | – | 74% n=23 | 69%n=34 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Qatar / Russia | 45/8851% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes yes no yes yes yes no | 50% n=8 | 50% n=56 | 68%n=88 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Record | 63/8971% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | 88% n=8 | 77% n=56 | 68%n=89 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Messi | 59/8867% | 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes no yes yes yes | 75% n=8 | 66% n=56 | 65%n=88 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Champion | 58/8866% | 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes no yes yes yes | 75% n=8 | 75% n=56 | 63%n=88 from settlement history | No | – |
| Underdog | 1/1100% | 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | No | – |
| Bayern | 1/1100% | 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | No | – |
| Corner 20+ times | 1/1100% | 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | Yes | – |
| Own Goal | 36/6159% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes no no no yes yes no | 67% n=6 | 51% n=39 | 58%n=61 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Handball | 52/8859% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes no yes no yes no no | 50% n=8 | 48% n=56 | 57%n=88 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Foul 5+ times | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | Yes | – | |
| Nutmeg / Nutmegs | 25/8828% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes yes no no yes no yes | 38% n=8 | 39% n=56 | 53%n=88 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| PSG | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | No | – | |
| Rebound | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | Yes | – | |
| Save / Saves 5+ times | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | Yes | – | |
| Shot 5+ times | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | Yes | – | |
| Tactical 3+ times | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | No | – | |
| USA | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | No | – | |
| Equalizer | 18/3453% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no yes yes no no yes yes | – | 57% n=23 | 51%n=34 from settlement history | No | – |
| Qatar | 45/8851% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no yes yes yes yes no | 50% n=8 | 50% n=56 | 50%n=88 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Hattrick / Hat Trick | 39/8844% | 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no no no no no no no | 62% n=8 | 46% n=56 | 44%n=88 from settlement history | No | – |
| Soccer | 25/6240% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes no no no yes yes no | 43% n=7 | 45% n=40 | 41%n=62 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Red Card | 25/6340% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes yes no yes no yes no | 71% n=7 | 37% n=41 | 40%n=63 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Ronaldo | 35/8939% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no yes no yes yes yes | 38% n=8 | 48% n=56 | 40%n=89 from settlement history | No | – |
| Crossbar | 33/8838% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes yes no no no no no | 25% n=8 | 34% n=56 | 39%n=88 from settlement history | No | – |
| Golden Boot | 27/7636% | 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no yes no no yes yes yes | 43% n=7 | 37% n=54 | 34%n=76 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Cleat | 0/30% | 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no | – | – | 33%n=3 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| What a Save | 27/8831% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no no no no yes yes yes | 12% n=8 | 32% n=56 | 32%n=88 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Golden Goal | 0/30% | 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no | – | – | 32%n=3 from settlement history | No | – |
| Penalty Kick | 9/3426% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes no no yes yes no no | – | 22% n=23 | 30%n=34 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Nutmeg / Meg | 25/8828% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes yes no no yes no yes | 38% n=8 | 39% n=56 | 30%n=88 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Eagles | 0/20% | 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no | – | – | 29%n=2 from settlement history | No | – |
| Penalty Shootout | 15/7021% | 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes yes yes no yes yes no | 20% n=5 | 28% n=47 | 28%n=70 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Gianni / Infantino | 15/6125% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes no no yes yes no no | 17% n=6 | 26% n=39 | 26%n=61 from settlement history | No | – |
| Shutout / Shut Out | 12/8814% | 2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no no yes no no no | 12% n=8 | 14% n=56 | 24%n=88 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Lincoln Financial Field | 0/50% | 0/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no | – | – | 18%n=5 from settlement history | No | – |
| Maradona / Pelé | 5/3415% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no yes no no yes no no | – | 22% n=23 | 18%n=34 from settlement history | No | – |
| Bicycle | 4/3412% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | – | 13% n=23 | 15%n=34 from settlement history | No | – |
| Lenovo | 3/359% | 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no yes no no no no | – | 12% n=24 | 12%n=35 from settlement history | No | – |
| Powerade | 6/887% | 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no no no no no no | 12% n=8 | 11% n=56 | 8%n=88 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Trump | 3/883% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | 0% n=8 | 4% n=56 | 5%n=88 from settlement history | No | – |
| Event does not qualify | 0/880% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | 0% n=8 | 0% n=56 | – | No | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal.
Transcript
History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?appearance=fifa-world-cup%3A2026-07-04%3Agame-fra-par · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP