Croatia at Portugal
CroatiaCRO
1-2Final
PortugalPOR
History only on Kalshi: sports mention markets paused 31 Jul 2026 Kalshi: play-by-play or color 
Kalshi Polymarket: any official commentator 
Polymarket
Kalshi Polymarket: any official commentator PolymarketWords
43 words · history before this game| Word | League | Last 10 | These teams | Network | Probability | Result | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Turf / Pitch | 49/5589% | 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes no yes yes | – | 97% n=34 | 85%n=55 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Captain | 72/8288% | 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes no yes yes yes | 83% n=6 | 84% n=51 | 84%n=82 from settlement history | No | – |
| Goal 60+ times | 7/7100% | 7/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | – | 100% n=6 | 84%n=7 from settlement history | No | – |
| Visa | 70/8285% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | 100% n=6 | 82% n=51 | 82%n=82 from settlement history | No | – |
| Comeback / Come Back | 68/8283% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes yes no yes yes yes | 83% n=6 | 82% n=51 | 79%n=82 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| History | 54/6781% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no yes yes no no yes | 67% n=6 | 82% n=44 | 75%n=67 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| VAR | 21/2875% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes no no yes yes yes | – | 72% n=18 | 71%n=28 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Record | 57/8369% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes yes yes no no no yes | 100% n=6 | 75% n=51 | 66%n=83 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Messi | 54/8266% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no yes yes yes yes yes yes | 83% n=6 | 63% n=51 | 64%n=82 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Tempo | 1/1100% | 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | No | – |
| Champion | 53/8265% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes no yes yes yes yes yes | 50% n=6 | 73% n=51 | 62%n=82 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Own Goal | 34/5562% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no yes no yes no yes | – | 53% n=34 | 59%n=55 from settlement history | No | – |
| Handball | 50/8261% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes yes yes no yes yes yes | 33% n=6 | 49% n=51 | 58%n=82 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Drama / Dramatic | – | – | – | –new too little history for a probability | Yes | – | |
| Long ball | 1/1100% | 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | No | – |
| Qatar / Russia | 41/8250% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes no yes no no no yes | 33% n=6 | 49% n=51 | 53%n=82 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Presence | 1/333% | 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no | – | – | 51%n=3 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Qatar | 41/8250% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes no yes no no no yes | 33% n=6 | 49% n=51 | 49%n=82 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Equalizer | 14/2850% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no yes no no no yes no | – | 50% n=18 | 49%n=28 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Hattrick / Hat Trick | 39/8248% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no yes no no yes no | 50% n=6 | 51% n=51 | 47%n=82 from settlement history | No | – |
| Foul 10+ times | 5/1050% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no no yes no yes no yes | – | 44% n=9 | 46%n=10 from settlement history | No | – |
| Soccer | 23/5641% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no yes no no yes no yes | – | 46% n=35 | 41%n=56 from settlement history | No | – |
| Horrible | 0/20% | 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no | – | – | 41%n=2 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Crossbar | 32/8239% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no no no yes yes yes | 0% n=6 | 35% n=51 | 40%n=82 from settlement history | No | – |
| Red Card | 22/5739% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes no no yes no no yes | 0% n=5 | 36% n=36 | 39%n=57 from settlement history | No | – |
| Ronaldo | 31/8337% | 2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no yes no no no no | 100% n=6 | 45% n=51 | 38%n=83 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Patience | 0/30% | 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no | – | – | 33%n=3 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Shot 10+ times | 1/520% | 1/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no | – | 20% n=5 | 33%n=5 from settlement history | No | – |
| Golden Boot | 23/7033% | 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no yes yes no yes yes no | 20% n=5 | 33% n=49 | 32%n=70 from settlement history | No | – |
| What a Save | 24/8229% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes yes yes no no yes no | 17% n=6 | 29% n=51 | 31%n=82 from settlement history | No | – |
| Nutmeg / Meg | 22/8227% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no yes yes no no yes | 17% n=6 | 37% n=51 | 29%n=82 from settlement history | No | – |
| Shutout / Shut Out | 11/8213% | 2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no no no no no yes | 33% n=6 | 16% n=51 | 28%n=82 from settlement history | No | – |
| Penalty Kick | 7/2825% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no no no yes no yes | – | 22% n=18 | 27%n=28 from settlement history | No | – |
| Fan 10+ times | 2/922% | 2/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no yes no no no | – | 25% n=8 | 26%n=9 from settlement history | No | – |
| Gianni / Infantino | 13/5524% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes yes no no no yes yes | – | 26% n=34 | 26%n=55 from settlement history | No | – |
| Penalty Shootout | 11/6417% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes yes no yes no no yes | – | 21% n=42 | 18%n=64 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| BMO Field | 0/50% | 0/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no | – | – | 18%n=5 from settlement history | No | – |
| Bicycle | 4/2814% | 2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no yes no no no no | – | 17% n=18 | 18%n=28 from settlement history | No | – |
| Maradona / Pelé | 3/2811% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no yes no yes no yes no | – | 17% n=18 | 14%n=28 from settlement history | No | – |
| Lenovo | 2/297% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | – | 11% n=19 | 10%n=29 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Powerade | 6/827% | 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no yes | 17% n=6 | 12% n=51 | 9%n=82 from settlement history | No | – |
| Trump | 3/824% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | 17% n=6 | 4% n=51 | 5%n=82 from settlement history | No | – |
| Event does not qualify | 0/820% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | 0% n=6 | 0% n=51 | – | No | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal.
Transcript
History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?appearance=fifa-world-cup%3A2026-07-02%3Agame-cro-por · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP