Will “Penalty Shootout” be said on the next FIFA World Cup broadcast?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Penalty Shootout” was said on FIFA World Cup broadcasts in 27 of 86 games with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 11, 2026 (31%), most recently on Jul 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=86, from settlement history), not a forecast.

41%from settlement history only · n=86counts: any official commentator
Last 10
8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no yes yes yes yes no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
any official commentator
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=fifa-world-cup&word=penalty%20shootout

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

FIFA World Cup

Penalty Shootout

Probability
41% · n=86
Settled
27/86 (31%)

Next listing counts: any official commentator

We don’t have transcripts for FIFA World Cup yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will announcers say during the FIFA World Cup Final · settled yes

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What will announcers say during France vs England · settled no

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What will the announcers say during England vs Argentina · settled yes

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What will the announcers say during France vs Spain · settled yes

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What will the announcers say during Norway vs England · settled yes

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What will the announcers say during Argentina vs Switzerland · settled yes

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What will the announcers say during Spain vs Belgium · settled no

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What will the announcers say during France vs Morocco · settled yes

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What will the announcers say during Switzerland vs Colombia · settled yes

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What will the announcers say during Argentina vs Egypt · settled yes

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Every settled listing

newest first · 60 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jul 19, 2026Penalty ShootoutPolymarketYes
Jul 18, 2026Penalty ShootoutPolymarketNo
Jul 15, 2026Penalty ShootoutPolymarketYes
Jul 14, 2026Penalty ShootoutPolymarketYes
Jul 11, 2026Penalty ShootoutPolymarketYes
Jul 11, 2026Penalty ShootoutPolymarketYes
Jul 10, 2026Penalty ShootoutPolymarketNo
Jul 9, 2026Penalty ShootoutPolymarketYes
Jul 7, 2026Penalty ShootoutPolymarketYes
Jul 7, 2026Penalty ShootoutPolymarketYes
Jul 6, 2026Penalty ShootoutPolymarketNo
Jul 6, 2026Penalty ShootoutPolymarketYes
Jul 5, 2026Penalty ShootoutPolymarketNo
Jul 5, 2026Penalty ShootoutPolymarketYes
Jul 4, 2026Penalty ShootoutPolymarketYes
Jul 4, 2026Penalty ShootoutPolymarketYes
Jul 3, 2026Penalty ShootoutPolymarketNo
Jul 3, 2026Penalty ShootoutPolymarketYes
Jul 3, 2026Penalty ShootoutPolymarketYes
Jul 2, 2026Penalty ShootoutPolymarketNo
Jul 2, 2026Penalty ShootoutPolymarketYes
Jul 2, 2026Penalty ShootoutPolymarketYes
Jul 1, 2026Penalty ShootoutPolymarketYes
Jul 1, 2026Penalty ShootoutPolymarketNo
Jun 30, 2026Penalty ShootoutPolymarketNo
Jun 30, 2026Penalty ShootoutPolymarketYes
Jun 30, 2026Penalty ShootoutPolymarketNo
Jun 29, 2026Penalty ShootoutPolymarketYes
Jun 29, 2026Penalty ShootoutPolymarketYes
Jun 25, 2026Penalty ShootoutPolymarketNo
Jun 25, 2026Penalty ShootoutPolymarketNo
Jun 25, 2026Penalty ShootoutPolymarketNo
Jun 24, 2026Penalty ShootoutPolymarketNo
Jun 24, 2026Penalty ShootoutPolymarketNo
Jun 24, 2026Penalty ShootoutPolymarketNo
Jun 24, 2026Penalty ShootoutPolymarketNo
Jun 24, 2026Penalty ShootoutKalshiNo
Jun 24, 2026Penalty ShootoutKalshiNo
Jun 24, 2026Penalty ShootoutKalshiNo
Jun 24, 2026Penalty ShootoutKalshiNo
Jun 24, 2026Penalty ShootoutKalshiNo
Jun 24, 2026Penalty ShootoutKalshiNo
Jun 23, 2026Penalty ShootoutPolymarketNo
Jun 23, 2026Penalty ShootoutPolymarketNo
Jun 23, 2026Penalty ShootoutKalshiNo
Jun 23, 2026Penalty ShootoutKalshiNo
Jun 23, 2026Penalty ShootoutKalshiNo
Jun 23, 2026Penalty ShootoutKalshiNo
Jun 22, 2026Penalty ShootoutPolymarketNo
Jun 22, 2026Penalty ShootoutPolymarketYes
Jun 22, 2026Penalty ShootoutPolymarketNo
Jun 22, 2026Penalty ShootoutKalshiNo
Jun 22, 2026Penalty ShootoutKalshiNo
Jun 22, 2026Penalty ShootoutKalshiYes
Jun 22, 2026Penalty ShootoutKalshiNo
Jun 21, 2026Penalty ShootoutKalshiNo
Jun 21, 2026Penalty ShootoutKalshiNo
Jun 21, 2026Penalty ShootoutKalshiNo
Jun 21, 2026Penalty ShootoutKalshiNo
Jun 21, 2026Penalty ShootoutKalshiNo

Questions

How often is “Penalty Shootout” said on FIFA World Cup broadcasts?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Penalty Shootout” was said on FIFA World Cup broadcasts in 27 of 86 games with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 11, 2026 (31%), most recently on Jul 19, 2026.
What is the probability “Penalty Shootout” is said on FIFA World Cup broadcasts next time?
41%, from settlement history (n=86). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: any official commentator.

Cite parrot.markets, “FIFA World Cup: ‘Penalty Shootout’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/sports/fifa-world-cup/words/penalty-shootout (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fifa-world-cup&word=penalty%20shootout · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fifa-world-cup&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP