Will “Penalty Kick” be said on the next FIFA World Cup broadcast?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Penalty Kick” was said on FIFA World Cup broadcasts in 16 of 50 games with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 25, 2026 (32%), most recently on Jul 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 33% (n=50, from settlement history), not a forecast.

33%from settlement history only · n=50counts: any official commentator
Last 10
5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no yes no yes yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
any official commentator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

FIFA World Cup

Penalty Kick

Probability
33% · n=50
Settled
16/50 (32%)

Next listing counts: any official commentator

We don’t have transcripts for FIFA World Cup yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will announcers say during the FIFA World Cup Final · settled no

Open the appearance

What will announcers say during France vs England · settled no

Open the appearance

What will the announcers say during England vs Argentina · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will the announcers say during France vs Spain · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will the announcers say during Norway vs England · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will the announcers say during Argentina vs Switzerland · settled no

Open the appearance

What will the announcers say during Spain vs Belgium · settled no

Open the appearance

What will the announcers say during France vs Morocco · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will the announcers say during Switzerland vs Colombia · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will the announcers say during Argentina vs Egypt · settled no

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 52 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jul 19, 2026Penalty KickPolymarketNo
Jul 19, 2026Penalty KickKalshiNo
Jul 18, 2026Penalty KickPolymarketNo
Jul 18, 2026Penalty KickKalshiNo
Jul 15, 2026Penalty KickKalshiYes
Jul 14, 2026Penalty KickKalshiYes
Jul 11, 2026Penalty KickKalshiYes
Jul 11, 2026Penalty KickKalshiNo
Jul 10, 2026Penalty KickKalshiNo
Jul 9, 2026Penalty KickKalshiYes
Jul 7, 2026Penalty KickKalshiYes
Jul 7, 2026Penalty KickKalshiNo
Jul 6, 2026Penalty KickKalshiNo
Jul 6, 2026Penalty KickKalshiNo
Jul 5, 2026Penalty KickKalshiNo
Jul 5, 2026Penalty KickKalshiYes
Jul 4, 2026Penalty KickKalshiYes
Jul 4, 2026Penalty KickKalshiNo
Jul 3, 2026Penalty KickKalshiNo
Jul 3, 2026Penalty KickKalshiNo
Jul 3, 2026Penalty KickKalshiYes
Jul 2, 2026Penalty KickKalshiYes
Jul 2, 2026Penalty KickKalshiNo
Jul 2, 2026Penalty KickKalshiNo
Jul 1, 2026Penalty KickKalshiYes
Jul 1, 2026Penalty KickKalshiNo
Jul 1, 2026Penalty KickKalshiYes
Jun 30, 2026Penalty KickKalshiNo
Jun 30, 2026Penalty KickKalshiNo
Jun 30, 2026Penalty KickKalshiNo
Jun 29, 2026Penalty KickKalshiYes
Jun 29, 2026Penalty KickKalshiNo
Jun 29, 2026Penalty KickKalshiNo
Jun 28, 2026Penalty KickKalshiNo
Jun 27, 2026Penalty KickKalshiNo
Jun 27, 2026Penalty KickKalshiNo
Jun 27, 2026Penalty KickKalshiYes
Jun 27, 2026Penalty KickKalshiNo
Jun 27, 2026Penalty KickKalshiNo
Jun 27, 2026Penalty KickKalshiNo
Jun 26, 2026Penalty KickKalshiNo
Jun 26, 2026Penalty KickKalshiNo
Jun 26, 2026Penalty KickKalshiNo
Jun 26, 2026Penalty KickKalshiYes
Jun 26, 2026Penalty KickKalshiYes
Jun 26, 2026Penalty KickKalshiNo
Jun 25, 2026Penalty KickKalshiNo
Jun 25, 2026Penalty KickKalshiNo
Jun 25, 2026Penalty KickKalshiNo
Jun 25, 2026Penalty KickKalshiNo
Jun 25, 2026Penalty KickKalshiYes
Jun 25, 2026Penalty KickKalshiNo

Questions

How often is “Penalty Kick” said on FIFA World Cup broadcasts?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Penalty Kick” was said on FIFA World Cup broadcasts in 16 of 50 games with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 25, 2026 (32%), most recently on Jul 15, 2026.
What is the probability “Penalty Kick” is said on FIFA World Cup broadcasts next time?
33%, from settlement history (n=50). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: any official commentator.

Cite parrot.markets, “FIFA World Cup: ‘Penalty Kick’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/sports/fifa-world-cup/words/penalty-kick (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fifa-world-cup&word=penalty%20kick · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fifa-world-cup&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP