Will Wes Moore say “Republican”?

As of Oct 23, 2026, Wes Moore said “Republican” at 8 of 14 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 12, 2026 (57%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 46% (n=14, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 3 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 13, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 2 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.

46%from settlement history only · n=14counts: named speaker only
Last 10
4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no no yes yes no no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=wes-moore&word=republican

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Wes Moore

Republican

Probability
46% · n=14
Settled
8/14 (57%)
Last 3 episodes
said in 0 of 2 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Wes Moore say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · settled yes

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Counts: named speaker only

28 by speakers the rule does not count.

Acton brother videoother13:01In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

Raphael Warnockother16:02In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

Every match in the transcript

What will Wes Moore say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not said

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What will Wes Moore say during Fox News Sunday? · not said

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What will Wes Moore say during Meet the Press? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Wes Moore say during Fox News Sunday? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Wes Moore say during CBS Mornings? · settled no

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What will Wes Moore say during The Weeknight? · settled no

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What will Wes Moore say during the CAP IDEAS Conference? · settled yes

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What will Wes Moore say during Meet the Press? · settled no

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What will Wes Moore say during his NAN Fireside Chat? · settled no

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Every settled listing

newest first · 14 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 21, 2026RepublicanKalshiYes–
Sep 22, 2026RepublicanKalshiNo0
Sep 13, 2026RepublicanKalshiNo0
Aug 2, 2026RepublicanKalshiYes–
Jul 5, 2026RepublicanKalshiYes–
Jul 3, 2026RepublicanKalshiNo–
Jun 16, 2026RepublicanKalshiNo–
May 19, 2026RepublicanKalshiYes–
May 10, 2026RepublicanKalshiNo–
Apr 9, 2026RepublicanKalshiNo–
Apr 7, 2026RepublicanKalshiYes–
Feb 19, 2026RepublicanKalshiYes–
Feb 16, 2026RepublicanKalshiYes–
Feb 12, 2026RepublicanKalshiYes–

Questions

How often does Wes Moore say “Republican”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Wes Moore said “Republican” at 8 of 14 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 12, 2026 (57%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026.
What is the probability Wes Moore says “Republican” next time?
46%, from settlement history (n=14). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Wes Moore: ‘Republican’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/wes-moore/words/republican (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=wes-moore&word=republican · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=wes-moore&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP