Wes Moore: Interview, Feb 16, 2026
Kalshi What will Wes Moore say during his CBS Townhall?
Markets
14 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| ICE / Border | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Redistrict / Redistricting / Redistricted | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Republican | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Democrat | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Military | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Racism / Racist | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Epstein | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Obama | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tariff | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Unredacted / Redact / Redacted | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXGOVERNORMENTION-26FEB16 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP