Will Tom Homan say “Trump”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Tom Homan said “Trump” at 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 30, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 69% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (2 episodes; Jul 12, 2026 – Jul 19, 2026), since fewer than 2 panels have transcripts, 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 4/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Tom Homan
Trump
- Probability
- 69% · n=4
- Settled
- 4/4 (100%)
- Last 2 transcripts
- said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (2 episodes); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…David Becker and former cybersecurity chief Chris Krebs, who was fired by Trump for asserting that the 2020 elections were secure. Plus, New York Governor…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…waterway open. What's next for the security of the region after President Trump declared that fragile cease-fire deal to be over? We will be joined…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Tom Homan say “Trump”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Tom Homan said “Trump” at 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 30, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 26, 2026.
- What is the probability Tom Homan says “Trump” next time?
- 69%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Tom Homan: ‘Trump’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/tom-homan/words/trump (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tom-homan&word=trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tom-homan&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP