Tom Homan: Interview, Jun 6, 2026
Kalshi What will Tom Homan say during Fox News: My View with Lara Trump?
Markets
14 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Security | Yes | 68%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Sanctuary | Yes | 62%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Deport / Deported / Deportation | Yes | 56%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Spaghetti / Meal | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Biden | Yes | 41%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Minnesota / Minneapolis | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Fentanyl | No | 56%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Markwayne / Mullin | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mikie / Sherrill | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| World Cup | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fraud | No | 45%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Body Camera / Body Cam | No | 45%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Mask / Masked | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXHOMANMENTION-26JUN06 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP