Tom Homan: Interview, Aug 16, 2026
Kalshi What will Tom Homan say during Fox News: One Nation with Brian Kilmeade?
Markets
12 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sanctuary | Yes | 65%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Deport / Deported / Deportation | Yes | 61%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Zohran / Mamdani | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Biden | Yes | 49%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Fentanyl | Yes | 46%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| National Security | No | 70%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 3+ times | No | 64%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Electric | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Body Camera / Body Cam | No | 39%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Markwayne / Mullin | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Fraud | No | 38%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Mask / Masked | No | 34%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXHOMANMENTION-26AUG16 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP