Face the Nation (CBS), July 12, 2026
On the Jul 12, 2026 episode of Face the Nation, 0 of the 12 words Kalshi listed were said. The transcript is searchable below (quotes of at most 25 words).
Updated
Markets
12 words · 0 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sanctuary | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| National Security | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Democrat | No | 55%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | No | 54%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Deport / Deported / Deportation | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Accountable / Accountability | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Criminal | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Vehicle / Car | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Investigation / Investigate | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Body Camera / Body Cam | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Houston | No | 34%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Mask / Masked | No | 32%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · CBS News, Face the Nation transcript · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
None of the listed words was said under the market rules.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/face-the-nation:2026-07-12:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=face-the-nation:2026-07-12:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP