Tom Homan: Interview, Aug 22, 2026
Kalshi What will Tom Homan say during Fox News: Saturday in America?
Markets
12 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sanctuary | Yes | 68%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Deport / Deported / Deportation | Yes | 66%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | Yes | 55%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | 51%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| ICE 3+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Zohran / Mamdani | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Fentanyl | No | 53%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Violent / Violence | No | 50%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Protest / Protester | No | 48%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Electric / Glove | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Body Camera / Body Cam | No | 34%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Mask / Masked | No | 28%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXHOMANMENTION-26AUG22 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP