Will Tom Homan say “ICE” 3+ times?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Tom Homan said “ICE” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 22, 2026.
Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (2 episodes; Jul 12, 2026 – Jul 19, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, 1 names the market's speakers, and the word reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Tom Homan
ICE (3+ times)
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 2 transcripts
- said in 1 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (2 episodes); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…sanctuary cities and at these protests that resist. Members of Congress saying ICE isn't a real law enforcement agency. I think that – I actually…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | ICE (3+ times) |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Tom Homan say “ICE (3+ times)”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Tom Homan said “ICE” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 22, 2026.
- What is the probability Tom Homan says “ICE (3+ times)” next time?
- 56%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Tom Homan: ‘ICE (3+ times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/tom-homan/words/ice-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tom-homan&word=ice%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tom-homan&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP