Will Scott Bessent say “Trump”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Trump” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Dec 4, 2025.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press briefings; Apr 29, 2025 – May 28, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Scott Bessent
Trump
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 3 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…don't want anyone yelling reclaim my time. So, let's start out with Trump accounts. Trump accounts, I believe, are the most important benefit for young…
…this calendar year. So with that, we have also seen with the Trump Accounts, we have had five million families file for Trump Accounts for…
…few weeks. Many of them have already come to Washington. What President Trump is referring to is the ability for tariff revenue to give income…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | Trump |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Scott Bessent say “Trump”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Trump” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Dec 4, 2025.
- What is the probability Scott Bessent says “Trump” next time?
- 63%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Scott Bessent: ‘Trump’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/scott-bessent/words/trump (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=scott-bessent&word=trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=scott-bessent&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP